April 10th, 2013


The Lightning score a late third period goal to give us a winner on Tuesday with a 3-2 victory over Ottawa.   Tonight there is a smaller NHL board, but I’ve got one play going…

2 UNIT = Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Rangers – OVER 5 GOALS (-125)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)

The Leafs and Rangers have met twice this season, including Monday night in Toronto.  The first meeting of the season was a 5-2 New York home victory, and on Monday the Maple Leafs won 4-3 in Toronto.  Dating back to 2011 the Leafs and Rangers have scored 6+ goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings.  The Leafs have scored 3+ goals in 9 of their last 11 games.  The Rangers have scored 18 goals over their past 5 games (3.6 goals per game) with the OVER going 3-1-1. Take note that the OVER is 13-5-3 in the Leafs last 21 overall, and 25-8 in their last 33 vs Atlantic division opponents.  The OVER is 16-5 in these two teams last 21 meetings in New York to go along with the 6-1 in their last 7 h2h meetings.  Both teams are having little problems scoring goals lately and their two meetings so far this season have each had 7 goals scored.  I like the OVER 5 here tonight.


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  1. I think the coin-toss odds are pretty spot on so not sure either side of 5 is value.

    Key notes

    Home wins,the nyr hold their opponents to 1 or 2 goals so with ny favoured tonight.

    Lindqvist has only allowed more than 2 goals at home twice since february when the team settled in more, his away form pushing up his average.

    So if you think nyr will win tonight, you see them holding toronto to 2. My read is 3-2 / 4-1 rangers.

    With lingqvist confirmed, more return backing nyr in 60 minutes.


  2. Btw, scrivens was on the ice this morning for the optional skate so though reimer is probable, nothing confirmed yet.