April 2nd, 2013


Well the Wild didn’t show up to play at home which is rare for them as they went down 4-1 to the Blues.

Today I’m trying something different as I need to change up my approach a little bit.  I’m still waiting on another GOW/GOM to keep the streak going and hopefully string together a bunch of winners, but for now I’ve got a team total play…

2 UNIT = Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning – LIGHTNING OVER 3 GOALS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

This is a team total play, meaning we are betting on the Lightning to score OVER 3 goals.  I’ve made this bet before this season.  If they score 4+ goals we have a winner a 3 is a push.  You will be able to find this bet at all major sportsbooks, and if you can’t bet this I would still place a bet on the game total going over 5.5.

The Lightning are 3-0 this year against the Panthers, scoring 5, 6 and 3 goals in those victories.  The Lightning have actually won 7 straight meetings overall vs Florida and in those games they’ve scored over 3 goals 5 times.  Only once had they scored fewer than 3 that would give us a loss.  The Lightning are coming off a 5 goal shootout victory at home, and they’ve scored 15 goals in their last 4 home games.  Tampa Bay is 3rd in the NHL scoring 3.21 goals per game and that goes up to 3.5 goals per game at home.  Florida is last in the NHL allowing 3.44 goals per game. The OVER is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.  We’ll go with Tampa Bay scoring OVER 3 goals tonight.


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1 Comment

  1. Kevin, can you point me in the direction of one offering the ‘push’ at 3.

    When a bet is offered as TO SCORE OVER 3 GOALS it means three or less is a losing bet since it is NOT over three.

    So far I can’t find anyone offering a push at 3.

    You may want to check the conditions of the bet since pushes are only given on game totals.