April 4th, 2013

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Here are the write ups for today’s picks that were sent out very early this morning (or late last night)…

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs – LEAFS TO WIN (-132)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)

The Philadelphia Flyers are 16-17-3 on the year, but just 4-12-1 on the road.  They are on a back to back as they played Montreal at home last night winning 5-3.  The Flyers have won 3 straight games, but all have been played at home.  They had lost 4 straight before that 3 game winning streak, and still sit 4 points out of 8th place in the East.  The Toronto Maple Leafs are 20-12-4 on the year and 10-6-2 at home this season.  They are coming off of 4 days of much needed rest after playing a lot of games over the last week or so.  The Leafs have won 3 straight games heading into tonight, and have gong 5-0-2 over their last 7.  In their last 3 victories the Leafs have out scored opponents 13-5.  The two teams have already met twice this season with the Maple Leafs winning both, including a 5-2 victory in Toronto.  Philly has won just 4 of 17 games on the road, and I like the odds here on a rested and healthy Leafs squad that is playing well.

2 UNIT = Detroit Red Wings @ Phoenix Coyotes – RED WINGS TO WIN (+106)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.12 units)

Since sending this out early this morning the line has changed with the Red Wings -105 in some places, but I still like them at that price.  The Red Wings sit in 7th in the Western Conference with a 18-13-5 record.  They are 8-7-2 on the road.  Detroit is coming off a 3-2 victory at home vs Colorado, and they are 6-3 over their last 9 games. The Coyotes are 15-15-6 on the season and 11-7-1 at home.  They’ve won 2 of their last 3 games, but they’ve lost 8 of their last 10 overall.  Phoenix has dropped to 12th in the West.  The Coyotes made some moves on Trade Deadline Day, but they shipped out some players to build for the future.  Take note that the Red Wings are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.  The Coyotes are just 2-5 in their last 7 following a win.  Detroit has taken their only meeting with Phoenix so far this year, which was a 3-2 win in Phoenix.  The Red Wings have won 8 of their last 9 games against Phoenix, and are 21-6-3 in their last 30 meetings in the desert.  I’m on Detroit here as road dogs.

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