February 25th, 2013

3

1-3 Sunday as the Blackhawks only win by one goal (1-0) over Columbus, The Ducks win but not in regulation like we had bet, and the our big underdog pick on the Lightning missed a couple good chances to tie the game up late and gave up an empty netter to lose 5-3.  Our lone winner was the OVER in the Islanders and Hurricanes where we did get some good fortunate with an empty netter.

I’m getting today’s picks out and then the write ups will come later..

2 UNIT – Dallas Stars @ Nashville Predators – STARS TO WIN (+145)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.90 units)

The Dallas Stars enter this game with a 9-8-1 record and 5-5 road record.  They are coming off a 3-1 home win vs San Jose on the weekend, and they’ve gong 6-3 over their last 9 games.  During that 9 game span the Stars have scored 3 or more goals in every game.  The Nashville Predators are 8-6-5 on the year and 4-2-3 at home.  They’ve lost two straight games and were shutout in both of those losses.  They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games overall.  Dallas will go with Cristopher Nilstrop in net tonight in their first of a back to back, and he is 1-3 on the year with a 2.60 GAA and .913 SV%.  The Predators are expected to start Pekka Rinne, who has great numbers with a 1.77 GAA and .931 SV% but a record of just 7-5-4.  These two teams split their 4 meetings last year, with each team winning one game on the road.  With the Stars averaging over 3 goals per game over their last 9 and the Predators being shutout in back to back games I think we have good value on an undervalued Dallas team.

2 UNIT – Anaheim Ducks @ Los Angeles Kings – DUCKS TO WIN (+135)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.70 units)

The Ducks were 4-3 winners last night with an overtime victory over the visiting Avalanche.  They will now head to Los Angeles to take on the Kings.  Anaheim is 13-2-1 on the season, and a stellar 7-1-1 on the road so far this year.  The Ducks have won 6 straight games, and have scored 24 goals over those 6 games (4 goals per game). The defending Stanley Cup Champs are off to a 8-6-2 start and are 3-1-1 at home.  Los Angeles is on their own winning streak of 3 games and have won 5 of 6, but taking a look at their recent wins you will notice that 4 of those 5 wins have come against the last4 teams in the Western Conference.  The Kings did take 5 of their 6 meetings last season, but two of those games in Los Angeles were won in shootout.  In their lone meeting this year the Ducks won 7-4 in Anaheim.  Viktor Fasth is confirmed for tonight’s game for Anaheim and he is a perfect 8-0 on the season with a 1.78 GAA and .933 SV%.  The Kings will most likely go with Jonathan Quick who is 5-5-2 on the season with a 2.45 GAA and .905 SV%.  Both teams are hot right now, but with the Ducks being 13-3 in their last 16 games and riding a hot undefeated goalie I will take them as good sized underdogs.

 

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3 Comments

  1. Duncan MacTavish on

    Word from Bridgestone arena press contact is Pekka Rinne remains ‘probable’ though just over 1 hour from game.

    From Kings arena: Quick was first off ice for skate confirming start (L.A. coaching always takes starting goalie off first for afternoon skate).

    GL

  2. Sorry BJ I did send out two picks to members only. I didn’t want to be annoying and send out a second email today to non-members without a pick in the email. If you want to receive all my picks you can sign up for a membership. Back tomorrow as per normal.

    Kevin