March 11th, 2013

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We split two picks last night, with the Canadiens winning pretty easily 5-2 but our underdog pick on the Jets losing in a shootout.

Monday is a pretty quiet night in the NHL with just two games on the board, but I do have one play going.

2 UNIT = Boston Bruins @ Ottawa Senators – OVER 5 GOALS (-104)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)

The Boston Bruins are 16-3-3 on the season and 8-1-2 on the road.  Ottawa has managed a pretty solid record despite a lot of injuries as they are 13-8-4 on the year and 9-1-2 at home.  These two teams have met once this year on February 28th with Boston winning 2-1 in overtime.  Although there were only 3 goals scored both teams had a ton of opportunities, with Boston outshooting Ottawa 46-31.  Last year in their 6 meetings the OVER was 4-2 with totals of 8, 7, 7, 8, 1, and 4.  All of those games were up tempo games with combined shots well over 60 in each of them.  Boston has been scoring a lot of goals lately, with 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 games.  Ottawa has averaged just under 3 goals per game in their last 4 home games, and over their last 3 games overall they’ve averaged 3 goals per game (with totals of 5, 9, 5).  The Senators have been an “under” team this year, but when these two teams meet the game seems to open up.  With both teams finding the back of the net lately I think we have a good price on the OVER 5.

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