March 5th, 2013

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A nice 2-0 night last night.  We had the OVER 5 goals in the Leafs/Devils game and that one finished 4-2 with a high scoring third period.  We also had the Kings who won 5-1 in what was an ugly game until the third period where the goals poured in.

Tonight we’ve got a bunch of NHL games and I’ve got 3 plays locked in…

2 UNIT = Boston Bruins @ Washington Capitals – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-139)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.44 units)

The Boston Bruins are coming off a 4-3 loss to Montreal, but had won 6 straight prior to that.  In their last 7 games they’ve allowed just 13 goals against (less than 2 per game), with the UNDER going 4-1 in their last 5 games.  The Capitals are winners of 3 of their last 4 games, and they’ve played to the UNDER in three straight.  The Caps have allowed just 5 goals against in their last 4 games, and 4 of those goals came in one game in Philadelphia (the other three games included two shutouts).  Braden Holtby is confirmed for tonight and he has recorded two shutouts in his last 3 games.  Tuukka Rask is expected to be between the pipes for Boston and he has a GAA under 2.00 on the year.  The UNDER is 6-2 in the Bruins last 8 road games, while the UNDER is 6-2-1 in the Caps last 9 home games.  I think we’ve got a generous price on a 5.5 total tonight and I’m taking the UNDER.

2 UNIT = Winnipeg Jets @ Florida Panthers – JETS TO WIN (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

The Winnipeg Jets are 10-10-1 on the year, and 6-4-1 on the road.  They are coming off a 3-0 home loss vs Washington, but they had 35 shots on goal in that game.  The Jets have won 5 of their last 7 games overall.  The Florida Panthers are losers or 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games, which drops them to 6-11-5 on the year and just 3-5-4 at home.  Winnipeg is 5-1 in their last 6 road games, while the Panthers are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.  The Panthers are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and they are 0-7 in their last 7 games in the same situation.  Good teams usually don’t have a problem playing 3 games in 4 nights, but it is tough for a team like Florida that has only won twice in their last 12 games.  I expect Winnipeg to come out with another big road victory tonight.

2 UNIT = St Louis Blues @ Los Angeles Kings – KINGS TO WIN (-128)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.56 units)

The St Louis Blues enter this meeting with Los Angeles with an 11-8-2 record and 6-3-1 road record.  Although they got off to a hot start the Blues have been struggling as of late, including losing 4 of their last 6 games.  Their last game was a 4-1 loss in Dallas.  They’ve scored just 8 goals over their last 5 games.  The Kings have been the complete opposite, starting slow but heating up big time as of late. The Kings won 5-1 last night making them 6-1 over their last 7 games.  Over that 7 game span the Kings have out scored opponents 24-12.  Los Angeles is 11-7-2 on the year and 6-1-1 at home.  Note that St Louis is just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record.  The Kings are 18-8 in their last 26 vs a team with a winning record and 19-7 in their last 26 home games both dating back to last season.  Los Angeles won their only meeting so far this season 4-1 in St Louis, making it their 6th straight victory against the Blues.  Last year the Kings went 3-1 vs St Louis in the regular season and then swept them in the playoffs on the way to the Cup.  The Kings are hot and have had St Louis’ number, while the Blues are struggling as of late.  I think we have a good price on L.A. to go back to back at home for us.

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