NHL Picks for February 1st

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A 1-1 day yesterday but a tough one.  The Blue Jackets were shutout, but the Sharks managed to put up 6 against Steve Mason who has to be one of the worst starting goalies in the NHL this season – wonder what happened to him since his rookie season.  We hit the UNDER in the Wings/Flames game pretty easily, although a couple late third period goals did put us on edge a tiny bit.

Coming back here with one play for now and waiting on goalie confirmations for another one or two plays….  **Update: 1 play added below**

**Update: A THIRD play added below**

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 1.10 units to win 1 unit)

— No write up as the play is going off in about an hour. I was waiting on a goalie confirmation before sending this out.

Columbus Blue Jackets @ Los Angeles Kings – UNDER 5 GOALS (+100)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1 unit)

Like mentioned the Blue Jackets were shut out last night, and they have now scored 2 or fewer goals in 5 straight games.  Over that span the Blue Jackets are averaging just 1 goal per game.  Columbus is averaging less than 2.2 goals per game on the road and 2.24 goals per game overall.  Clearly that is last in the NHL right?  Wrong, the Los Angeles Kings are averaging just 2.14 goals per game which is good for last in the league.  The Kings still have a decent 24-16-10 record as they are holding opponents to just 2.10 goals per game (3rd in the league in goals against).  Tonight Columbus will go with Curtis Sanford who has been a much better goalie for the Jackets, going -11-4 with a 2.57 GAA and .912 SV% this year.  Jonathan Quick is 21-12-9 on the year with a 1.88 GAA and .934 SV% and is expected to get right back between the pipes coming off the All Star weekend.  Take note the UNDER is 16-6-5 in the Kings last 27 home games, and 12-3-1 in their last 16 vs a team with a winning % less than .400.  These two teams have met twice this season – one was a 1-0 Columbus victory and the other was a 2-1 Los Angeles win.  I don’t see much changing here with the two lowest scoring teams in the league.  Take the UNDER at a generous price.

Adding…

Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks – DUCKS TO WIN (-137)
(Note: I’m risking 1.37 units to win 1 unit)

The Dallas Stars are 25-21-2 on the season, but just 11-12 on the road this season.  Before the All Star break the Stars beat Anaheim 1-0 at home, but were outplayed and outshot in that game.  Prior to that game the Stars had loas 5 straight games.  In their past 6 games the Stars have scored just 7 goals.  The Anaheim Ducks are on the second of a back to back after beating Phoenix 4-1 last night.  The Ducks have won 6 of their last 7 games and 9 of their last 11.  Anaheim has seemed to turn things around from their awful start, and are now 13-12-1 at home.  Their scoring has really picked up to a level that we can expect the Ducks to be at, and Jonas Hiller has been playing great.  Hiller has allowed just 10 goals against in his last 8 starts and has dropped his GAA to 2.77 on the season. Take note that Anaheim as won 6 straight home games, and have taken 5 of their last 7 meetings in Anaheim against the Stars.  Anaheim is 4-2 in the second of back to backs this season and I don’t expect that to slow them down as they return home.  I like the Ducks to win tonight and I think we have some value on the line where it is.

 

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