NHL Picks for February 21st

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Very tough game to watch last night as we bet on the Caps who didn’t even show up to play.  I am now convinced this team won’t make the playoffs – you are facing the last place team in the East and they come out with 3 or 4 times the energy you do?  Things change daily in the NHL but I doubt I will be betting on Washington much leading down the final stretch.

Big NHL board tonight and I’ve got 4 plays going….

Philadelphia Flyers @ Winnipeg Jets – JETS TO WIN (+106)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.06 units)

The Flyers are coming off a 6-4 loss at home on Saturday afternoon against the Penguins, which was their 3rd loss in 4 games and their 6th loss in their last 8 games.  The Flyers are still having goalie problems, averaging 4 goals against over their last 5 games and close to 3 on the season.  Philadelphia is 18-9-2 on the road this season.  Winnipeg is in the middle of a home stand, and have won three straight games coming into tonight – @Minnesota and then at home versus Boston and Colorado where they’ve looked impressive.  The Jets are 18-9-2 on home ice, and are chasing a playoff spot with their 29-26-6 record.  These two teams have met 3 times this season, with the Jets taking all three games.  Winnipeg won both meetings in Philadelphia and beat the Flyers 6-4 at home back in November.  The Jets are the hotter team right now, love playing at home, are getting better goaltending, and have dominated h2h vs Philly.  I don’t understand why they are underdogs here and I will take the Jets.

Los Angeles Kings @ Phoenix Coyotes – COYOTES TO WIN (-120)
Los Angeles Kings @ Phoenix Coyotes – UNDER 5 GOALS (-150)
(Note: I’m risking 1.20 units to win 1 unit)
(Note: I’m risking 1.50 units to win 1 unit)

The Kings have lost 6 of their last 8 games, including their past two where they have been shutout by Calgary and Phoenix.  The Kings are now 27-21-11 on the season and 12-8-7 on the road.  Los Angeles is averaging just 2.03 goals per game this season, but are lucky to have Quick in net who has helped the team allow just 2.03 goals against per game as well.  Over their last 5 games the Kings are averaging just 1.20 goals per game.  The Coyotes are making a push here down the stretch, winning two straight games and 7 of their last 8.  A lot of the winning lately has come from Mike Smith playing solid and the team overall defensively allowing just 0.60 goals against per game over the past 5.  They are scoring just 1.80 goals per game during that span.  On the season Phoenix is scoring just 2.54 goals per game and allowing 2.39 against.  These two teams have met 5 times this season with Los Angeles winning 3 of the 5, but Phoenix winning the latest on Thursday in LA.  During those 5 games we have seen totals of (starting with the most recent) 1, 1, 7, 5, and 2.  The UNDER is 34-11-12 in the Kings last 57 overall, and 7-3-1 in their last 11 divisional games. The UNDER is 7-0 in the Coyotes last 7 overall, and 4-1 in their last 5 divisional games.  The Coyotes have the edge tonight at home as they are playing better hockey and the Kings who can’t score should struggle again tonight versus Mike Smith.  Take the UNDER and the Coyotes each for a unit.

Edmonton Oilers @ Calgary Flames – FLAMES TO WIN IN REGULATION TIME  (-111)
(Note: I’m risking 1.11 units to win 1 unit)

The Oilers have dropped three straight and 4 of their last 5 games, which included three straight home games.  Edmonton is now 22-30-6 on the season and just 7-20-2 on the road.  They are averaging just 2.34 goals per game on the road, while giving up 3.28 against.  Calgary is coming off a big win in Los Angeles on Saturday night, and have now won 3 of their last 4 and 3 straight at home (Chicago, Vancouver, Toronto).  The Flames are 28-22-9 on the season and a solid 16-8- at home where they are allowing just 2.19 goals against per game.  Calgary has absolutely owned this head to head series in recent years.  The Flames have won all 4 meetings this season, and 9 straight overall dating back to last season.  7 of those 9 straight wins versus the Oilers have been in regulation time, with 5 of those 7 being by 2 goals or more.  Take note that the Flames are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite, and 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Calgary is playing much better right now, Edmonton struggles on the road, the Flames own this h2h, and Kiprusoff is playing great.  The Flames win this one, and because I don’t want to lay that much chalk I am going to take them to get things done in regulation (14 of their 16 home wins have come in regulation).

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4 Comments

  1. write up tommorrow on 20 run but tonight 1 unit

    New York Rangers +105 over Pittsburg Penguins.

  2. Hit 2 out of 2 as we chose PIT and NAS to Win. PIT won 2-0 against Rangers and NAS won 3-1 against Canucks. A good night overall. I’ll be back tmrw with a play or two.

  3. That Jets loss really hurt, Flyers tied it with about 10 seconds left in the third period and won in OT. Pavelic was awesome in net for the Jets, too bad they couldn’t win it for him.