A solid night last night going 2 for 3, including our Game of the Week Underdog winner. By game time the Avs were actually slight favorites, but we got them at (-105). The Avs went on to win 4-1 with 3 first period goals. We also nailed our Ottawa pick who won easily 5-2. Our only loss on the night came with St Louis who outshot Boston 32-19, but allowed three first period goals against.
Great night with the GOW winner. Although they are called my “game of the week” I don’t hold it to just one pick per week… when I find value in a play I like I will up the units. Tonight I have another Game of the Week 3 unit play going, and fully expect to hit it for back to back winners. Time to get going on a big run here…
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Two other 1 unit plays below:
San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit)
The Sharks have lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 8 and head to Toronto to look to get back in the winning column. The Sharks are averaging 3.40 goals per game over their last 5, but have allowed 4.20 against during that span. The Maple Leafs have lost 2 straight, and 6 of their last 7 games. Over their last 5 games the Leafs are allowing 4.60 goals against per game, and they are now on the lookout for a goaltender before the trade deadline. Both Reimer and Gustavsson are struggling mightily as of late. Overall on the season the Maple Leafs are allowing over 3 goals against per game. The OVER is 8-3 in the Sharks last 11 games overall, and 8-3 in their last 11 vs Eastern Conference opponents. Also note that the OVER is 14-2 in their last 16 following a loss of 3 or more goals (lost to Columbus by 3 on Tuesday). The OVER is 4-0 in the Leafs last 4. Western Conference teams that don’t get to visit Toronto a lot usually come out with high energy, and we often see high scoring games. With the fire power the Sharks have, and the Leafs defense struggling I can see this being a high scoring game. Take the OVER.
Philadelphia Flyers @ Edmonton Oilers – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-130)
(Note: I’m risking 1.30 units to win 1 unit)
Although the Flyers have been going through goaltender struggles they are keeping up by scoring a lot of goals themselves. The Flyers have managed to win two of their last 3 games, scoring 16 goals over the those three games. Philadelphia is scoring 4.20 goals per game over their last 5, but giving up the same 4.20 against. On the season Philadelphia is ranked 1st in the NHL scoring 3.34 goals per game, but they are 27th allowing 2.98 against per game. The Oilers are coming off a 6-1 win in Calgary, and are averaging 3.20 goals per game in their last 5 games, and 3.20 against during that span as well. Edmonton sits middle of the league in goals per game, but are also near the bottom (24th) allowing 2.95 against per game. The OVER is 6-0 in their last 6 overall, and 16-7 in their last 23 road games. The OVER is also 4-1 in the Flyers last 5 vs Western Conference opponents, and 21-10-1 in their last 32 vs a team with a losing record. The OVER is 8-1-1 in the Oilers last 10 games overall, and 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games. The OVER is also 7-0 in the Oilers last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Everything pointing to the over in this one, and I can see there being a lot of goals going in tonight.