NHL Picks for February 3rd


Solid night last night going 2-0 for +2.55 units.  We had the Hurricanes +1.5 at -120 who ended up winning outright 3-0 on the road to sweep the season series with the Bruins.  We also had the Oilers at +155 who beat Chicago 8-4 in a historic night with Sam Gagner collecting 8 points.

Lets continue tonight with another winning night…

New York Islanders @ Ottawa Senators – ISLANDERS TO WIN (+130)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.30 units)

The New York Islanders won their first game back from the All Star break 5-2 in Carolina.  The Islanders have now won 4 of their last 6 and have gotten points in 5 of the 6.  The Islanders are 20-22-7 on the season and 9-11-3 on the road (3-1 on the road in their last 4).  Ottawa is coming off a 4-3 loss in Boston where they were leading 3-1 at one point.  The Sens have now dropped 4 straight games.  Although they were home for the All Star Break the Sens have played 6 straight road games, and 9 of their last 10 away from home.  Mix in the handful of Senator players who were taking part in the busy All Star weekend and we can assume that this Ottawa team may be a little burnt out.  Ottawa is 27-20-6 on the season and 14-9-1 at home.  These two teams haven’t met this season, but split last year’s four meetings each winning a game on the road.  New York has scored 3 or more goals in 6 of their last 10 games and have looked pretty solid over that span.  I look for the Islanders to take advantage of the Senators coming off of 6 straight road games, with a good chance at taking tonight’s game. Take the Islanders at +130.

Los Angeles Kings @ St Louis Blues – UNDER 5 GOALS (-125)
(Note: I’m risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit)

It is rare to have to lay that much chalk on a total of 5, but there is good reason for it.  Tonight we have two very low scoring teams both with solid goalies in net.  The Kings have won two straight and are 25-16-10 on the season and 10-5-6 on the road this year.   They are averaging just 2.14 goals per game on the road, but just 2.29 against.  The Blues dropped two in a row before the break, and enjoyed an extended break as tonight is their first game back.  St Louis is 29-13-7 on the season and a spectacular 21-3-4 at home this season.  They are averaging 2.89 goals per game at home, and just 1.71 against.  Over their last 5 games the Blues are scoring an average of 1.80 while allowing just 1.40 against.  St Louis will go with Jaroslav Halak in net, who just as well could have been an All Star goalie with his 14-8-5 record, 2.04 GAA and .918 SV%.  He has allowed just 12 goals against in his last 9 starts.  Jonathan Quick is 22-12-9 with a 1.88 GAA and .934 SV% and is expected to start tonight with the Kings playing @Carolina tomorrow.  Overall the UNDER is 27-11 for the Kings and 26-12 for the Blues.  On the road the UNDER is 11-4 for the Kings.  The UNDER is 3-1-1 in the Blues last 7 home games.  Note that the UNDER is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 meetings, and 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings in St Louis.  Both teams have a very defensive style of play and top goalies between the pipes.  This one should be a very low scoring game, and I’ll lay a bit of chalk on the UNDER 5.


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1 Comment

  1. Columbus vs Ducks under 5.5 (-110)

    The last time these teams met they lit up the scoreboard with 11 total goals. That’s the reason we are getting this line at a generous total 5.5 (-110). Coumbus has a hard time scoring on any given night and the Ducks have struggled to score much of the year too. The Ducks have only given up more than 2 goals twice in the last 12 games. This shapes up to be a low scoring game despite their last meeting.