I have already sent out an email with a recap of Sunday’s action, but we nailed our Game of the Week (GOW) Underdog pick with the Devils winning 5-2! That makes me 11-2 in my last 13 picks, which includes a handful of underdog winners and 2 GOW winners.
We are going to continue this success through the last part of the season and all of the playoffs. Lets keep it going tonight, with one play going on a quiet 3 game NHL board.
Detroit Red Wings @ Phoenix Coyotes – OVER 5.5 GOALS (+113)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.13 units)
The Red Wings are coming off a dramatic loss to the Oilers on Saturday, where they came from behind to take the lead and then lost in shootout with a 5-4 final score. The Red Wings will wrap up their 5 game road trip (with the All Star break in the middle) tonight against the Coyotes. Detroit is 35-16-2 on the season but just 15-14-1 on the road. Phoenix has won 2 of their last 3 games, and are looking to get back on track. The Coyotes are 23-21-8 on the season and 11-10-4 at home. Detroit is averaging 3 goals per game over their last 5 games, and have scored 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 11 games. Over their last 5 games the Red Wings are averaging 3.20 goals against per game, and are now without starting goalie Jimmy Howard which won’t help that cause. The Coyotes are averaging 2.80 goals per game and 3.00 against per game over their last 5, and have scored 3 or more goals in 3 of their last 4. These two teams have met 3 times this season, with just 1 of the 3 going OVER the posted total, but both finished with 5 goals scored. Although they both managed to stay under the total they relied on their goalies, as the teams combined for 68 and 69 shots in those two contests. Mike Smith has allowed 20 goals against over his last 6 starts (3.33 GAA), while the Red Wings will go with either back up Ty Conklin or Joey MacDonald tonight – neither who compare to All Star Jimmy Howard. Take note that the OVER is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings overall, and the OVER is 9-3-3 in their last 15 meetings in Phoenix. These two teams don’t like each other because of recent postseason meetings, and always seem to play high tempo games. I like the value we are getting with the OVER 55. goals tonight, and I will lay a unit on it.