NHL Picks for February 7th

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A tough loss Monday taking the OVER 5.5 (+113) between the Red Wings and Coyotes.  They didn’t really play a high tempo game that we usually see when they meet, and Mike Smith stopped 30 shots which I knew he was capable of but didn’t think he would do tonight.

A nice sized NHL board Tuesday, and I’ve locked in 4 picks.. my write ups will come sometime Tuesday — just getting the picks out early.

*UPDATE: I’ve added one play below, and finished the write ups for the picks*

**Added** Vancouver Canucks @ Nashville Predators – PREDATORS TO WIN (+101)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.01 units)

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Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets – MAPLE LEAFS TO WIN (+100)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1 unit)

The Maple Leafs have gotten themselves in a playoff spot with some good play lately.  The Maple Leafs have won three straight, 5 of 6, and have gotten points in 7 of their last 8 games.  Their latest was a 6-3 win last night at home versus the Oilers, meaning they are on a back to back tonight as they fly out to Winnipeg.  The Jets have dropped two straight and 5 of their last 7 games (needing extra time in both of their 2 wins over that span).  Scoring hasn’t been easy to come by for the Jets, as they have managed just 6 goals in their last 6 games.  The Maple Leafs on the other hand are averaging 4 goals per game over their last 5.  The Jets most recent loss was a 3-0 loss Sunday in Montreal.  Winnipeg is returning from a 6 game road trip (with the All Star break mixed in) and they do not play good when they are away from home for a long stretch.  This season the Jets are 0-3 in their first game back after being on the road for 3 or more.  Toronto has taken 2 of the 3 meetings between these two teams, with the loss being in Winnipeg, but with Winnipeg struggling right now and in a tough spot I like the Leafs to continue with another win.

St Louis Blues @ Ottawa Senators – BLUES TO WIN (-119)
(Note: I’m risking 1.19 units to win 1 unit)

The St Louis Blues are coming off a road loss in Nashville in which they maybe should have won if it wasn’t for Predators goalie Pekka Rinne.  The Blues are still 9-4 in their last 13 games overall, which has them 30-14-7 on the season (although just 8-11-3 on the road).  Brian Elliott is getting the nod tonight against his former team, and the All Star has been stellar.  Elliott is 15-5-2 with a 1.69 GAA and .938 SV% this year.  Ottawa has lost 6 straight games, including a bad 5-0 loss against divisional rival Maple Leafs on Saturday night.  Scoring has been a problem for the Senators, as they have managed just 8 goals during that 6 game slide (compared to 20 goals against).  Craig Anderson is in net for Ottawa, and he has lost all 6 games, allowing 3 or more goals against in 4 of the 6 starts.  Already struggling to score I think Ottawa will have some problems against one of the better shut down teams in the league, with their All Star goalie in net looking to prove a point to the team that got rid of him.  Take St Louis in this one.

Minnesota Wild @ Columbus Blue Jackets – WILD TO WIN (-120)
(Note: I’m risking 1.20 units to win 1 unit)

Minnesota is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games, with their latest a shootout loss in Dallas.  On the season the Wild are 25-19-8 and 12-12-5 on the road.  Their opponent tonight is the Columbus Blue Jackets who are coming off a win – just their 5th win in their last 22 games played.  The Blue Jackets are coming off their longest road trip of the season (6 games + All Star break mixed in), and are just 1-2 this season in their first game back after 3+ road games.  Over their 7 games the Blue Jackets have managed just 10 goals while giving up 20 against.  In net for Minnesota is Niklas Backstrom who is 14-12-5 on the season, with a 2.30 GAA and .925 SV%.  Over his last three starts he is 2-0-1 with a shutout and allowed just 3 goals against during those three starts.  Curtis sanford will be in net for Columbus, and he is 9-12-4 on the season with a 2.56 GAA and .913 SV%.  He is 1-2-1 in his last 4 starts, where he has given up 11 goals against.  The Blue Jackets haven’t played at home since January 19th and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them come out flat tonight.  The Wild are playing for a playoff spot (currently 8th in the West), while some Columbus players are playing to show case their skills hoping for a trade.  This line has moved and you can now get the Wild at (-106) at some places – lets take Minnesota tonight in a good spot.

Vancouver Canucks @ Nashville Predators – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-122) and PREDATORS TO WIN (+101)
(Note: I’m risking 1.22 units to win 1 unit and 1 unit to win 1.01 units)

The Canucks managed to pull off a victory in Colorado on Saturday afternoon with a late goal and then shootout victory despite being outplayed and outshot 46-29.  The Canucks have now won 4 of their last 5 games, but have been to extra time in 4 straight games.  Vancouver is 32-15-5 on the season and 17-9-1 on the road.  The Predators pulled out a huge 3-1 win Saturday night against their division rival St Louis Blues, where Pekka Rinne stood on his head.  The Preds have now won 6 of their last 7 games and are 20-6 in their last 26 games overall.  Nashville is sitting just 1 point back of the Canucks in the Standings with their impressive 32-17-4 record.  The Predators are 17-7-3 on home ice this season, and have won 13 of their last 16 home games. Nashville has also been stepping up against good teams, going 5-2 in their last 7 vs teams with a winning % higher than .600.  These two teams have met twice this season, both in Vancouver, and have each taken a game.  Because both games have gone over the posted 5 goal total we are now seeing a total of 5.5, which is rare when these two teams meet.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see both Roberto Luongo and Pekka Rinne have great games tonight, in what both teams should be treating like a playoff game.  This is a good measuring stick for the Predators, and I think they want to prove something tonight. The atmosphere on Saturday in Nashville was great and I expect it to be similar tonight with the Canucks in town.  Winning 13 of their last 16 games I think the Predators are being under valued here.  I’ll take Nashville as home underdogs, and the UNDER 5.5.

 **Side note: to anyone not in the US I REALLY Recommend PinnacleSports.com — I place about 75% of my bets there right now, as I am always finding the best line at Pinnacle (unfortunately they don’t accept US bettors – but are great for Canadians and others)**

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16 Comments

  1. I have lots of plays going for Tuesday as there are 11 games on the board.

    NJD Vs NYR – Under 5 goals
    NYI Vs PHI – PHI (Puck Line: -1.5)
    FLA Vs WSH – WSH to Win
    MIN Vs CLB – MIN to Win
    STL Vs OTT – Under 5.5 goals
    LAK Vs TBL – U 5.5 goals
    LAK Vs TBL – LAK to Win
    PIT Vs MTL – PIT to Win
    TOR Vs WPG – WPG to Win
    PHX Vs DAL – DAL to Win

    These are my plays for today. All the Plays are 1 Unit each. I hope to get atleast 7-8 right. Good Luck everyone.

  2. Even with a full slate of games on tuesday I’m still trying to find an edge somewhere. Anyone can throw out 10 picks with a 50/50 chance at getting it right (no disrespect), but I wanna know what is your reason for taking these sides. Picks coming once I get some confirmed goalies but I do like the under 5.5 Van @ Nash (even though my line is not as good).

  3. Soccer run:
    2-3-1 and -2,62 units.
    A little win last night – better than losing.
    Big game today as I have a 5 unit play! My 5 unit plays usually hit 80% of the time.
    Birmingham to beat Portsmouth at a VERY generous price(-131) at PinnacleSports.com
    Because of Birminghams recent form with 6 wins out of 7 and their home statistic 9-5-0 + the fact that Portsmouth is 2-4-8 away, this is a tremendous play. Hope some of you have a look it at. 5 units on Birmingham.

  4. I am also placing 1 unit on Spartak Moscow to beat FC Copenhagen as I have just confirmed that FC Copenhagen will be playing with a lot reserves.
    1 unit on Spartak Moscow(+154) at PinnacleSports.com

  5. Minnesota Wild (-115)

    The Wild are expecting the return of their captain Mikko Koivu tonight and it couldn’t come against a better team. The Blue Jackets are at the bottom of nearly every statistic and the Wild are in the playoff hunt. Minnesota is clearly the better team and you’re getting them at a great price vs the league’s worst team.

  6. Florida (+130)

    This is a huge matchup for the division lead and Washington is playing without Green, Backstrom, and now Brooks Laich who was injured vs Boston. Laich has been one the most solid players in Washington and Ovechkin is not putting up the numbers we are used to seeing from him. The Panthers have beaten the Caps 2 out of 3 this year with that loss coming very early in the season before the Capitals were so banged up. I like Florida tonight.

  7. Chi ovr Col-Chi win, Can’t see Chi losing 6 in a row specially to a struggling Col team.
    Min ovr Clb-Min to win,i believe Min is 4-1-1 as of late and Clb is a mees right now w/all the drama surrounding Rick nash.
    Stl-Ott-Under in this game,stellar goaltending in Stl,and Ott has lost 6 in a row and don’t seem to be improving.

  8. Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets under 5.5 (-125)

    Toronto has posted shutouts in 3 of the last 7 games and cashing the under 9 of the last 12. Winnipeg is one of the lower scoring teams in the league. They’ve scored 3 or less in 17 of the last 18 games. The Jets last 6 games have all gone under the number with 3 goals being scored in each of those contests. I was surprised to see this one at 5.5

  9. Anyone like th Islanders to win tonight at Phi?. I know Phi has dominated this series, but Phi is 3-3-2 last 8 and Isl are 5-1-2 last 8 and I believe Isl beat Phi 4-1 in Jan.

  10. Koivu will not play tonight. Columbus is still the worst team in the league and Minnesota is fighting to keep their playoff spot.

  11. St. Louis Blues (-115)

    The Ottawa Senators are slumping right now losing 6 in a row while scoring just 8 goals. A few of those losses are coming against lower echelon teams (NYI, PHO, ANA). St. Louis is also in a small slump losing 3 of 4 however these were against solid playoff teams (NASH, PIT, DET). As a matter of fact the Blues haven’t lost to a team that wouldn’t make the playoffs since December and Ottawa would barely slip in right now as the 8th seed. Brian Elliott gets the nod vs his former team, I’ll take St. Louis in this one.

  12. What a night.. Hope some of you had a look at it as I gained 6,54 units! I new I had a good play and did not hesitate to make it 5 units. Be right back tomorow.

  13. Soccer run:
    4-3-1 and +3,92 units.
    Totally killed it last night, and I am going to follow up tonight.
    1 unit: Sunderland to beat Middlesborough(+110)
    1 unit: Borussia Mönchengladbach to beat Hertha Berlin(+139)
    1 unit: Hoffenheim to beat Greuter Furth(+115)

    Generous prices on all plays from PinnacleSports.com