Rough night and a bad start to the week. Time to start up another mini hot streak. We had a shootout loss and a one goal loss by two of our underdog picks (Nash and Tor), which probably could have gone either way (especially Nashville with a few opportunities to win it with a goal in the shootout). Overall though, bad night.
I am going away for a week on Friday, and will back the following Saturday. During that time I won’t have picks going daily as I won’t be able to watch the games. I am bringing my Macbook down on vacation with me, so I will be doing my daily research early in the morning and if I happen to find something I want to play it will be sent out via email to clients. This would probably only be on the weekend or early in the week. Just thought I should let you know I will be away before Friday creeps up on me.
OK back tonight with 4 games on the NHL board and one play…
Carolina Hurricanes @ Anaheim Ducks – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-117)
(Note: I’m risking 1.17 units to win 1 unit)
Carolina enters this game winners of two straight and 4 of their last 6. The Hurricanes victories haven’t been coming with a lot of goals though, as it is more Cam Ward carrying the team on his back. The Hurricanes have allowed just 17 goals over their last 10 games (1.70 goals against per game) – and one of those games the Canes had 5 goals against. Take that out and that is just 12 goals against in 9 games. Over their last 8 games the Hurricanes have only scored 15 goals (less than 2 per game). Carolina is just 6-13-6 on the road this season. The Ducks are coming off a 3-2 shootout victory against the Flames on Monday night. They have averaged just 2 goals per game over their last 5. Anaheim has allowed just 20 goals against over their last 10 games, and that includes a game where they allowed 6 goals against versus Dallas – take that out and it equals 14 goals against in 9 games. Cam Ward is playing sensational right now, and Jonas Hiller has been really good at times lately as well. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Hurricanes last 8 games overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in the Ducks last 7 games overall, and 4-1 in their last 5 games. Carolina is coming off 3 days rest, and the UNDER is 7-3-1 in their last 11 times playing on 3+ days rest. The UNDER is also 13-6-1 in the Ducks last 20 vs a team with a winning % below .400. Also take note that the Ducks have held opponents to 26 shots or less in their last 5 games, while the Hurricanes have put just 23 shots on net per game over their last 4. Looking at this from all angles I don’t see it being a high scoring game. Take the UNDER tonight.