NHL Picks for January 17th

6

The Sens got out played last night, and that isn’t what you expect from a team that is rolling versus a team that struggles on the road and is missing three key players.  Tough to predict that.

Tuesday’s plays below…

— Just a warning that I am in a little funk right now and you may want to just sit back and watch my plays until I heat up again.  Up to you either way, I just like letting people know when I’m slumping.

New York Islanders @ Washington Capitals – CAPITALS TO WIN (-170)
(Note: I’m risking 1.70 units to win 1 unit)

The Islanders are coming off a 3-1 home afternoon loss yesterday against the Predators.  They went 2-2 in their four game home stand and are 2-4 in their last 6 games overall.  On the season New York is 16-21-6 and just 6-10-3 on the road.  The Islanders are averaging just 2.3 goals per game on the year, but just 2.05 goals per game on the road this season while giving up 3.53 goals against per game away from home.  Washington has enjoyed 3 straight home wins and looks to go 4-0 on their home stand with a win tonight.  The Caps have beaten Carolina, Tampa Bay, and Pittsburgh on this mini home stand and have now won 7 of their last 9 games.  The Caps are 17-5-1 on home ice this season, where they are averaging 3.13 goals per game.  With Mike Green and Nicklas Backstrom out of the lineup the Capitals have relied on depth to win games.  Over their last 9 games the Capitals have held opponents to 2 or less goals 6 times.  Take note that the Islanders are playing their 3rd game in 4 days and are 1-4 in their last 5 times in that situation.  The Caps are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.  New York took these two teams only meeting so far this year in New York, but the Capitals are a much different team at home.  The Caps had won 6 straight versus the Islanders before their loss in New York.  Look for Washington to get some revenge by beating up on this Islanders team who is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.

Los Angeles Kings @ Vancouver Canucks – UNDER 5 GOALS (+101)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.01 units)

The Kings enter tonight’s game with a 22-15-9 record, and 9-5-6 on the road.  Los Angeles is scoring just 2.2 goals per game, and a lower 2.15 goals per game on the road.  While their scoring is giving them troubles, they are playing solid defensively.  The Kings are allowing just 2.13 goals against per game and 2.30 goals against per game on the road.  The Canucks dropped their first game back after a 4 game road trip to the Ducks on Sunday 4-2.  Vancouver is averaging 3.2 goals per game on the year, but are averaging just 2.63 goals per game over their last 8 games.  The Canucks and Kings always seem to play low scoring games.  Over their last 6 meetings we have seen totals of 5, 5, 4, 4, 5, and 3.  Jonathan Quick has a stellar 1.90 GAA and .933 SV% this season.  Roberto Luongo has a 2.41 GAA and .916 SV%.  Take note that the UNDER is 25-11 on the season for the Kings (not including pushes) and 11-4 on the road this season.  Playing to the UNDER isn’t uncommon for the Kings, as the UNDER is 36-16-12 in their last 64 games overall, and 33-14-7 in their last 54 road games.  The UNDER is 9-3 in the Canucks last 12 home games vs a team with a losing record, and 21-8-1 in their last 30 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  The UNDER is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings in Vancouver.  Even with the total set at 5 I still think there is value on this play.

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6 Comments

  1. not only you slumping a little bit, most cappers have a problem now, because last results was strange. How to predict that senators will lose game against jets? imposible in my opinion. good luck. i am also going on capitals

  2. Picked up a winner last night with DET (-1.5)

    I have one play going for today:

    1 Unit Play

    Red Wings Vs Stars – Stars to Win (+145).

  3. Hurricanes (+175)

    The Hurricanes are a much better team now than they were to start the year and the reverse can be said of the Penguins. Skinner is back for Carolina and the Penguins are a very average team at best right now. I’ll play the Canes as a healthy underdog in this one.

  4. 20 run now 1-3 -2.6 units

    last bets 1-1 for -.1 units

    Tonight like 2 games each 1 unit

    Bruins-Lightning over 5 1/2 -110
    These team typically have shootouts and Bruins due for a break-out on mini scoring slump

    Sharks -1 1/2 goals +150 over Flames. Again disparity of recent play and history says this is a good chance to go for a 2 goal win

  5. Lost today as we picked Stars to Win against Red Wings. But the Red Wings gets things done in Shootout as they defeated the Stars with the final score of 3-2.

    I’ll be back tmrw with a play or two as there are 4 games scheduled for tmrw.