Another big home favorite bites the dust last night as the Capitals lose to the Islanders at home (and get shutout with a 3-0 final). The UNDER on the Kings/Canucks looked pretty good for the most part of the game but we ended up with a push as Vancouver tied it up in the 3rd.
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Just four games on the NHL betting board tonight, but we’ve got three plays…I’m hoping for a perfect 3-0 night tonight, but those have been rare this season.
Buffalo Sabres @ Chicago Blackhawks – BLACKHAWKS TO WIN IN REGULATION (-132)
(Note: I’m risking 1.32 units to win 1 unit)
Not much is looking good for the Buffalo Sabres, who are playing their 3rd game of a 7 game road trip that could almost already take them out of the Eastern Conference playoff picture if they play like they have been lately. The Sabres have lost the first two of the road trip 4-2 against the Islanders and 5-0 against Detroit. The Sabres now have just 1 win in their last 11 road games, and have won just 7 of their last 26 overall. Buffalo now sits with a 19-21-5 record. The Blackhawks have won 3 of their last 4 games after a 4 game losing streak. Their only loss in their last 4 games came in overtime in Detroit. Wins have come at home against Columbus, Minnesota and their latest victory over the Sharks. The Sabres are averaging just 1.20 goals per game over their last 5 and just 1.80 goals per game on the road this season (while giving up over 3 per game on the road). That isn’t good news for the Sabres going up against the Blackhawks, as Chicago is averaging 3.42 goals per game at home this season, and 3.60 goals/game in their last 5. Note that Chicago’s last 8 home victories were all won in regulation, and the Blackhawks are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite of -201 or more. Tonight I’m taking one of the leagues better home teams against the NHL’s current worst road team, who are slumping all together. I’ll take Chicago to win in regulation, as I don’t want to lay the chalk on the moneyline.
Phoenix Coyotes @ Anaheim Ducks – DUCKS TO WIN (-130) and OVER 5.5 GOALS (+120)
(Note: on the Ducks I’m risking 1.30 units to win 1 unit and on the over I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.20 units)
Although the Coyotes have kept games close they have won just 3 of their last 12 overall. Phoenix ended a 3 game losing streak with a big 6-1 win over the Avalanche on Monday but head right back on the road to face a hot Anaheim team. The Coyotes are 12-10-4 on the road this season, but are winless in their last 5 road games. The Ducks have won 5 of their last 6 games overall, with their only loss a 1-0 OT loss in Calgary where they outshot the Flames. The Ducks have enjoyed wins of 2, 3, 3, 5, and 2 goals against the Islanders, Blue Jackets, Stars, Oilers, and their biggest victory in Vancouver on Sunday. Anaheim is averaging 4.20 goals per game over their last 5 games. At home the Ducks are 10-12-1 on the season. Take note that both of these two teams can score goals, with the Coyotes averaging 2.54 goals per game on the road, and the Ducks averaging 3 goals per game at home. Anaheim is allowing 3.05 goals against per game on the season, and an even higher 3.22 goals against per game at home. These two teams have met 3 times this season, with Phoenix taking the first two but the Ducks winning the latest (a December 14th 4-1 victory at home). 2 of the 3 went OVER the posted total, and the OVER is 4-1 in these two teams last 5 meetings. We know that Anaheim can struggle with their defensive play, but with the way they’ve been scoring during this streak I think they continue to win. We should see a higher scoring Ducks win tonight and I think we have value on the side and total tonight. Take the Ducks and the OVER.