After a night off last night I am back at it with a surprising 4 plays on just 6 NHL games on the board.
Lots of action and I fully expect to nail at least 3 of 4 of my plays tonight to start a great short week before the All Star Break.
Lets get right into my plays…
St Louis Blues @ Detroit Red Wings – RED WINGS TO WIN (-138)
(Note: I’m risking 1.38 units to win 1 unit)
The Detroit Red Wings will be looking for their 17th straight home win tonight vs the Blues. St Louis has won 8 of their last 9 games, but 8 of those games were at home. St Louis is a great home team (21-3-3) but are just 8-9-3 on the road. In fact the Blues are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games. The Red Wings have won 6 straight, but needed overtime or shootout in 5 of those 6 games. Detroit is an unheard of 19-2-1 at home this season. Take note that the Wings are 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team with a winning % above .600, and are 4-0 in their last 4 vs divisional opponents. The Blues are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs divisional opponents. These two teams have already played 4 of their 6 meetings this season. The home team has won all four games, with each team taking 2 a piece. The Wings have won 3-0 and 3-2 in Detroit, both which came near the end of December. The Red Wings average 3.86 goals per game at home, while the Blues average just 2.05 goals per game on the road. Look for Detroit to keep rolling along at home as they will show up for an all important divisional game.
Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-123)
(Note: I’m risking 1.23 units to win 1 unit)
Winnipeg has felt the affect of some key injuries, winning just twice in their last 7 games. The Jets are averaging less than 2 goals per game over their last 9. Dustin Byfuglien is expected to be out until after the All Star Break, and it doesn’t look like Evander Kane (18 goals, 13 assists) will be in the line up tonight. The Hurricanes have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but have gotten points in two of those losses giving them points in 5 of their last 6 games. Carolina will take anything they can get at this point in the season, with a 17-24-9 record. Carolina is averaging 2 goals per game over their last 5, but are holding opponents to just 1.40 goals against during that span. Cam Ward is finally looking like Cam Ward between the pipes. Ward has allowed 2 or less goals against in 8 straight starts. Note that the UNDER is 12-4 in the Jets last 16 overall, and 7-3 in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Canes are playing their 3 game in 4 days, and dating back the UNDER is 40-18-1 in their last 59 times in that situation. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Hurricanes last 4 and 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs a team with a road winning % less than .400. Neither team has been very offensive as of late, and both are getting good goaltending/defense – take the UNDER.
San Jose Sharks @ Edmonton Oilers – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-129)
(Note: I’m risking 1.29 units to win 1 unit)
The Sharks have dropped 3 of 4 heading into tonight and are averaging just 2 goals per game over their last 5. Scoring hasn’t come to easy for the Sharks on the road, where they average just 2.55 goals per game. Luckily for them goaltending has been pretty solid, as they allow just 2.15 goals against per game away from home. The Oilers have won just 1 in their last 9 games, and are coming off a 6-2 loss to Calgary on Saturday night at home. The Oilers are scoring just 1.20 goals per game over their last 5. Take note that the UNDER is 10-4 in the Sharks last 14 overall, and 9-4 in their last 13 road games. The UNDER is also 5-0 in the Sharks last 5 as a big favorite of -151 to -200. The UNDER is 5-2 in the Oilers last 7 overall, and 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games. Although these two teams usually play higher scoring games, I can’t see that happening with the way they’ve been playing lately. Take the UNDER here tonight.
Ottawa Senators @ Los Angeles Kings – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-150)
(Note: I’m risking 1.50 units to win 1 unit)
I wouldn’t be surprised to see this total move down to 5 before game time, but I like the 5.5 laying some chalk. The Sens come into tonight’s game after a Saturday night loss in Anaheim. The Sens are averaging just 2 goals per game over their last 5, but are allowing just 1.80 goals against during that span. The Kings have dropped 3 of 4, including two straight home games. They are averaging just 1.80 goals per game over their last 5 and 1.80 goals against per game over that span. That isn’t anything new for the Kings though, as they average just 2.1 goals per game this season and 2.12 goals against per game. At home they are averaging just 2 goals against per game. Craig Anderson has been excellent for the Sens, allowing 2 goals against or less in 7 straight starts. Jonathan Quick is expected to be in net for the Kings and he too has been great. Quick has allowed 2 goals against or less in 8 of 10, which includes one shutout and 5 starts where he allowed just 1 goal against. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Sens last 5 road games, and 6-0 in their last 6 overall. The UNDER is also 5-1 in the Sens last 6 vs Western Conference opponents. The UNDER is 16-6-4 in the Kings last 26 home games, and 27-11 on the season this year. Take the UNDER here as we are laying chalk but getting a very generous 5.5 total.