NHL Picks for January 3rd


A winner to start of 2012 on the 1st, and then we took yesterday off.

The Winter Classic was great, with an exciting finish and there were some other good games in the NHL last night.

Back at it here on Tuesday with two 1 unit plays…

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Toronto Maple Leafs – LIGHTNING TO WIN (+114)

The Lightning have had a rough start to the season going 17-17-3 and just 6-12-3 on the road, but they have won 3 straight games coming into tonight and 5 of their last 7.  Tampa Bay has the talent to be a top contender in the Eastern Conference but they haven’t been showing it – I expect them to have a better second half of the season.  The Leafs have been up and down and are 18-15-5 on the season and 8-5-4 at home this year.  Toronto has lost three straight and 6 of their last 8 games.  The Leafs are coming off 4 straight road games with Christmas break mixed in there.  Although they had the break in between the road games, the Leafs generally don’t play well the first game back home after a road trip.  The Leafs have won just 3 of their last 11 home games, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  Jonas Gustavsson gets the call tonight in net for the Leafs and he is 9-7 but has a high 3.27 GAA. Note that the Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs a team with a losing record.  Also take note that the Lightning have won 5 of their last 6 games in Toronto.  Take Tampa as very live underdogs tonight.

Calgary Flames @ Washington Capitals – CAPITALS TO WIN IN REGULATION (-113)

**I know some people will ask what this means (this is my fifth regulation play this season).  Depending which sportsbook you use it will either be listed as “(1st 60 minutes)” or “NHL Regulation Time”.  5Dimes has it listed with the other selections (no reduced juice), Pinnacle you have to choose regulation time in the NHL menu, and SportsInteraction you have to click “more betting” on the game and you’ll see regulation time.**

Calgary has had stretches of good hockey, but they have lost three straight games and 7 of their last 11.  The Flames are now 18-17-5 on the season and just 8-12-3 away from home.  They are playing in their 6th straight road game and will face a hot Washington team.  The Capitals look to get back on track and have won 3 straight games coming into tonight.  The Caps are 20-15-2 on the year and 13-5-1 on home ice.  The Caps have won 4 of their last 5 home games and all four wins came in regulation.  Note that the Flames are just 2-8 in their last 10 road games, and 1-7 in their last 8 games as road underdogs.  The Flames are also just 2-7 in their last 9 games as an underdog overall and 0-4 in their last 4 vs Eastern Conference opponents.  The Caps are 7-3 in their last 10 as a favorite.  Also note that dating back the Caps are a stellar 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Capitals are heating up right now, while the Flames near the end of a long road trip and have lost 3 straight.  I will take the Capitals to get things done at home tonight, and like the value we are getting for them take it in regulation time.  If you don’t like betting regulation wins I would probably still lay the chalk on the moneyline at -160 (www.5dimes.com)


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1 Comment

  1. 20 Run now 3-7 -4.24 units and yes i will post out no matter how ugly lol

    last bet was another tough loss the over 5 1/2 in the rangers-Flyers special game. 5 goals with tons of time left and a puck on the line and missed penalty shot sinks bet.

    Tonight like 1 unit Oilers-Sabres under 5 1/2 -125