NHL Picks for January 4th

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Last night was a wash as we went 1-1 for a break even night.

Our underdog pick on Tampa Bay lost, but our pick on the Capitals to win in regulation was a winner with a 3-1 victory.

I would have loved another profiting night, but no complaints here.

Lets bounce back with two more plays going with just 5 games on the NHL board…

Winnipeg Jets @ Montreal Canadiens – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-135)

(Note: I’m risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit)

The Jets have won 3 straight games despite some key injuries, including their top offensive D man Dustin Byfuglien sitting out.  Winnipeg is now a solid 19-14-5 on the season, but are just 5-8-4 on the road.  The Jets are scoring just 2.59 goals per game on the road. Winnipeg has played solid defensive hockey lately, allowing just 1.40 goals against in their last 5 while scoring 2.60 goals for during that span.  The Canadiens struggled continue, and things are heating up in the locker room (including a scrap between teammates in practice).  Montreal has lost 7 of their last 8 games, moving them to just 14-18-7 on the season.  Home ice hasn’t done anything for Montreal, who are just 5-7-6 at home this year.  The Canadiens are scoring just 2.5 goals per game this season, putting them near the bottom of the league in that category.  Note that the Canadiens are 2nd in the NHL in penalty kill %, but last in powerplay %.  The UNDER is 6-0 in the Jets last 6 games, and 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team with a losing record.  Also note that the UNDER is 6-1-1 in the Canadiens last 8 games playing on 3+ days rest.  Montreal has had 3 days off and are returning to play at home for their first time since December 17th (6 straight road games).  Lay a bit of chalk to take the UNDER 5.5 tonight.

San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-120)

(Note: I’m risking 1.20 units to win 1 unit)

San Jose has won 5 of their last 7 games, including a big 3-2 shootout win in Vancouver Monday night.  The Sharks are now 20-11-4 on the season and 8-4-2 on the road.  One downfall for the Sharks has been their play against the 10-21-6 Anaheim Ducks.  The Ducks have beaten San Jose in all three of their meetings this season, including 2 games in San Jose.  Note that the totals of all three meetings have fallen UNDER 5.5 at 1, 5 and 5.  Anaheim’s struggles start with scoring, as they average just 2.32 goals per game (27th in the NHL).  The Sharks are averaging 2.43 goals per game on the road, with their powerplay converting at just 13.7% away from home.  Note that the UNDER is 4-0 in the Sharks last 4, and 6-1 in their last 7 road games.  The UNDER is also 13-3 in their last 16 vs Western Conference opponents, and 5-1 in their last 6 divisional games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the Ducks last 5 vs Pacific divisional opponents and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games when playing on 3+ days rest.  The UNDER is also 14-5-2 in these two teams last 21 meetings in Anaheim.  Almost everything is pointing to the UNDER here, and I agree that this game should stay under the 5.5 total.  Take the UNDER at a generous price.

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  1. 20 run now 3-8 -5.49 units

    tonight like Bruins – 1 1/2 goal line + 175

    NCAA like over West Virginia-Clemson over 68 1/2 + 150 (bet early at 5 dimes before line moved upward)