NHL Picks for March 7th

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Another winning night last night as we go 3 for 5, which included a +140 underdog pick on Columbus hitting.  Tough luck in the Blackhawks/Blues game as we had the UNDER and saw two late goals including the latest a meaningless goal with 15 seconds left.  Can’t complain when we come out with a winning night though, and we will roll right into Wednesday with another winner…

Tonight just 2 games on the NHL board and I have one play going…

**Goalie Update: As you can see in my original write up below I was pretty sure Fleury would be starting for Pittsburgh and wanted to get my money in before they confirmed that. Pittsburgh is going with Brad Thiessen in net tonight, but that doesn’t change my pick at all. The odds haven’t moved since the goalie change as Thiessen is a great young tender. The best odds I can see right now are +140 at Bookmaker.eu but this is a play at +135 or better.**

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Pittsburgh Penguins – PENGUINS -1.5 [Puck Line Play] (+150)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.50 units)

The Leafs lost last night at home 5-4 to the Bruins, which marks their 11th lost in 13 games.  Throughout those 13 games the Leafs have had a ton of struggles keeping the puck out of their net, which has bumped their overall goals against to 3.08 per game.  Over their last 5 games the Leafs are allowing 4 goals against per game.  That isn’t good news for a team who is facing the Pittsburgh Penguins who are averaging 4.60 goals per game over their last 5.  The Penguins have won 6 straight games heading into tonight’s game, including 4 games that were by at least 2 goals.  The Maple Leafs are 30-29-7 on the season, while the Penguins are 39-21-5 overall and a solid 21-8-2 on home ice.  If you look at the Leafs recent big slump you will notice that their only two wins have come against the 2nd and 3rd worst teams in the NHL.  To make matters worse for the Maple Leafs they will most likely be without one of their best scoring forwards in Joffrey Lupul and Colby Armstrong is also doubtful.  James Reimer is expected to get the nod tonight, and he has allowed less than 3 goals just once in his last 8 starts, which hasn’t helped his 3.07 GAA and .899 SV%.  Fleury should be in net for Pittsburgh and he has been great lately allowing 1 or less goals in 4 of his last 5 starts, which includes a shutout.  Tonight we get one of the NHL’s best teams at home versus a heavily struggling Maple Leafs that is now facing some more injury troubles.  I like the Penguins to win by a couple tonight and like the value we have at +150.  Take the Pens by 2 or more.

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6 Comments

  1. Really happy with the way you rebounded this last half of the season, Kevin. keep it rolling.

    My question is; as a US player any books you recommend and (hopefully) withdrawal methods?

    Thanks Aditya too – you’ve been doing a great job as well.

  2. Went 1-0 last night as the Bruins (-135) beat the Leafs 5-4.
    I have no plays today. I am leaning towards Sabres (-165), but the price is too high for me. So No Plays from my side for today.

    Good Luck everyone.

  3. NBA Pick for today:

    teaser/Parlay (4 1/2 pts) – Lakers -2.5 and Denver -5.5

    Good luck everyone.

  4. 0-1 night as the Lakers lost 101-106 and Denver lost 99-100. I’ll be back with a play or 2 for NHL tmrw as there are plenty of games scheduled for tmrw.

    Goodnight everyone.