I went with the Penguins to win by 2 last night as I thought we had good value at +150. Although the Pens won, they didn’t manage to win by 2+, missing a few opportunities for the empty net goal.
We have a big board of NHL games today. Although not many plays stood out to me, I do have two strong plays. One is my Game of the Week pick as I really like the line we’re getting, and the other is just a regular one unit play on a solid home team.
3 UNIT Game of the Week = Sent Via Email To Clients (click here to sign up)
Anaheim Ducks @ St Louis Blues – BLUES TO WIN (-164)
(Note: I’m risking 1.64 units to win 1 unit)
The Anaheim Ducks enter tonight’s game with a 29-28-10 record on the season and 11-14-8 road record. The Ducks beat Edmonton 4-2 on Monday, but have lost 3 of their last 5 games. To give Anaheim credit they have been playing a lot better hockey than the start of the season, but their road play is still iffy and will have their hands full tonight with one of the Western Conference’s top teams. The St Louis Blues are 41-18-7 on the season and a stellar 27-4-4 on home ice. The Blues took care of the Blackhawks on Tuesday night with a 5-1 victory, and have won 6 of their last 7 games (with 6 of those games coming on the road). Taking a look back at the Blues recent home losses you will see a trend that they really only seem to drop home games to the elite teams in the NHL and they don’t ever give away wins. The last 4 home losses date all the way back to to December 30th and include losses to Boston (in a game where they out played the Bruins), Pittsburgh in shootout, Vancouver in overtime, and Nashville in shootout. St Louis goalie Jaroslav Halak has won 5 straight starts, where he has allowed just 9 goals against. These two teams have met twice this season, each team winning 4-2 on home ice. The most recent was a 4-2 St Louis victory in December. The Ducks are just 6-21 in their last 27 games as a road underdog, and 6-18 in their last 24 vs a team with a winning record. The Blues are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, and are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a favorite. The Ducks have lost four straight meetings in St Louis and tonight should make for a fifth as the Blues will be too much to handle for this non-playoff Ducks team.
Clients check your email for the GOW pick (sent last night and again this afternoon)!