NHL Picks for November 11th

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Another underdog winner last night with the Panthers taking care of the Jets in Winnipeg last night.

Today is Remembrance Day here in Canada (Veterans Day in the US)… Make sure you take a minute to remember the soldiers that served for us.

Today’s pick below…

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins – STARS TO WIN (+119)

(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.19 units)

A battle of the East and West’s tops teams at the moment.  The Dallas Stars come into tonight’s game with an 11-3 record, good for 1st in the Western Conference.  The Penguins are 9-3-3, putting them on top of the Eastern Conference.  The Dallas Stars are on their third game of their four game road trip, and they have won four straight coming into tonight, including 5-2 wins over Carolina and Washington to begin the mini road trip.  The Stars have enjoyed 2 days off to prepare for the Penguins.  Pittsburgh is coming off of a 3 game road trip in which they lost 2 of the 3 games.  The Penguins haven’t  played at home since October 27th.  Take note that the Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.  They are also on 5 days of rest, and are just 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days of rest.  Tonight’s starter for the Stars will be Kari Lehtonen who is 11-1 on the season with a 2.13 GAA and .936 SV%.  Every game Lehtonen is in-between the pipes the Stars have a good chance at winning.  Take note that Lehtonen is 7-3-2 in his career against Pittsburgh, and he is 5-0 on the road this season.  Marc-Andre Fleury should be in net for the Pens, and he is 8-2-1 on the season with a 1.95 GAA and .931 SV%.  The Stars are averaging 3.1 goals per game this season, and 4.60 goals per game over their last 5 games. Dating back to last season the Stars are 15-7 in their last 22 vs Eastern Conference opponents, and are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.  The Penguins are just 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Dallas has been in some high tempo games lately and have been playing great, while the Penguins were on a somewhat long road trip and a layoff at home.  This isn’t a good situation for the Penguins to be in playing against the Western Conference’s top team, and I think the Stars can take advantage tonight.  The Stars are another very live underdog tonight and we will take them to win.

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23 Comments

  1. I am not sure about WAS-1,5 but I guess it will be over 5,5 game (+130). Also I go with Canucks (-120) and risking with Sabres -1,5 (+150) and CHI -1,5 (+185).
    Anybody knows which goalie will start at EDM today?

  2. Dogs make the most sense to bet on because the value is so much better and they win at a high rate compared to other sports.

  3. Hey MWK,

    You determine the underdog/favourite based on the odds…

    The team with the – odds is the favourite and the team with the + odds is the underdog. If both teams have – odds the team with the higher number after the – is the favourite. Tonight the Capitals were favourites over the Devils…

  4. I do not in way shape or form support the old Penn State Coaching Staff or Sports Administration but business is business.

    Its Certainly not the players fault and based on research and understanding of sports psychology do not be surprised if Penn State Wins outright today.

    So many people are picking Nebraska out of hatred for what Penn State did but the players sence this and may pull together in a its-an-us-aginst-the world moment and a desire to win one last game for the Gipper.