NHL Picks for November 1st

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Just wow. Anyone who was watching the Jets/Panthers game last night knows what I’m talking about…

The Panthers made it 3-2 with 2 minutes left and we were looking good to cash both plays. The Jets then had a goal waved off due to a high stick (which was clearly above the crossbar from replays) and it was then over turned. The weird thing about it all is that the commentators were saying that the official report from the NHL was stating that the on ice offiicial had called it a goal, but referee beside the net cleary waved the goal off on the ice. News sites report “Kane batted the puck out of the air, but the goal was held up on video review.” It will be interesting to see what the NHL says about this.

*Update: apparantely the referee changed his call on the ice. Here is a quote from National Post – “When you get it waved off that emphatically, the referee is standing there and he waves it off three or four times, you’re under the assumption it’s going to be a no goal,” Panthers coach Kevin Dineen said. “It’s surprising, very surprising, that it would go from that to, all of a sudden, goal. When a guy’s waving it off that much, it’s a shame. I think some people will learn some lessons from that. I think there was a mistake made on the ice and unfortunately it cost us a point, a very expensive point.”

Glad October is over with… fresh start here on Tuesday. I have three plays going tonight…

Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals – DUCKS TO WIN (+185)

(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.85 units)

**Note: Get this line at +180 or higher. I got the +185 at SportsInteraction.com**  Update: after I placed my bet and sent out the email the line dropped to +150.  I would only bet this if you can find a line at +180 or minimum +175.

Although the Ducks have dropped 5 of their last 6 games, they are 5-5-1 on the season.  The Capitals lost two straight games on the West Coast of Canada against the Oilers and the Canucks, and are back home where they are 5-0 this season.  Jonas Hiller is expected to get the start tonight after getting a break on Sunday.  Hiller is 4-4-1 with a 2.55 GAA and .904 SV%.  Voukon will get the start for the Capitals, and he is the reason they are off to such a hot start.  Voukon is 6-1 with a 2.15 GAA and .932 SV%.  The Capitals are averaging 32 shots against per game, putting a lot of pressure on their goaltenders.  This is a big statement game for the Ducks who need to prove they can win some games.  Corey Perry has stepped up to the occasion when playing against Ovechkin, with 9 career points in 6 games lifetime vs the Capitals.  Ovechkin has outdone Perry with 13 points in 6 games though.  Take note that the Ducks are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.  When two of the NHL’s better teams meet up you have to take a look at an underdog of this size.  Despite their recent struggles, I believe the Ducks will play hard tonight and have a chance at stealing a win. Take the DUCKS +185.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes – LIGHTNING TO WIN (+108)

(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.08 units)

The 5-4-2 Tampa Bay Lightning meet with the 4-4-3 Carolina Hurricanes for the second meeting of the season.  Tampa Bay took the first meeting 5-1 in Carolina.  The Lightning beat the Hurricanes in 4 of their 6 meetings last year.  Tampa Bay comes into tonight winning 4 of their last 5 games with wins over Winnipeg, Buffalo twice, and the Islanders.  The Hurricanes habe dropped 4 of their last 5 games, with losses to Philadelphia, Ottawa, Winnipeg, and St Louis.  Steven Stamkos has stepped up his game after a slow start, bring a 6 game point streak into tonight (5 goals during that span).  Ryan Malone and Martin St Louis are questionable for tonight, but I am expecting that at least one of them will be back in the lineup.  Dwayne Roloson should be back in net tonight after a shutout Saturday night against the Jets.  Roloson has had a rough start to the season, but has already beaten the Hurricanes once this season.  Cam Ward is 4-2-2 for the Hurricanes with a 2.34 GAA and .928 SV%.  Note that the Lightning are averaging 3 goals per game, and have better powerplay and penalty kill %’s than the Hurricanes.  Tampa Bay is 9-3 in their last 12 vs Southeast divisional opponents, while the Hurricanes are 0-4 in their last 4 vs divisional opponents.  Carolina is coming off a 4 goal loss, and they are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss of 3+ goals.  The Lightning who have won 4 of these two teams last 5 meetings in Carolina are a very active dog tonight.  Playing the better hockey right now I’m on the Lightning as underdogs.

Minnesota Wild @ Detroit Red Wings – RED WINGS -1.5 [Puck Line] (+153)

(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.53 units)

This is a revenge game for the Red Wings who peppered Josh Harding with 36 shots and came out on the losing end, with a 1-0 loss to the Wild on Saturday.  The Red Wings have lost four straight games coming into tonight, dropping them to 5-4 on the season, but they are still 3-1 at home where they average 3.5 goals per game.  The Wild are just 4-3-3 overall and just 1-1-2 on the road where they average 1.75 goals per game.  On the season the Wild are averaging only 1.9 goals per game game.  The Wild are coming right back with Josh Harding, hoping for another stellar start for him against the Red Wings.  He is 1-0-1 on the season (both starts against Detroit) with a 1.45 GAA and .961 SV%.  Those are impressive numbers, but more impressive are Jimmy Howard’s numbers over 6 starts.  Howard is 4-2 with a 1.82 GAA and .929 SV%.  Take note that the Wild are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win, 3-9 in their last 12 road games, and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200.  The Red Wings are an amazing 133-38-10 in their last 181 home games vs a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Wings are also 6-2 in their last 8 in the second game of a home-in-home, and 35-16 in their last 51 vs a team with a losing record.  The Wild have lost 5 of their last 6 meetings in Detroit, and the Red Wings have won 22 of their last 31 meetings with Minnesota.  Harding won’t be able to match Saturday’s performance in Detroit, and the Red Wings get a revenge win over the Wild by a couple goals. Take the Red Wings on the puck line at a generous price.

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  1. Well power came back on tonight in time to play the 7:30 pm plays or later.

    Connecticut really took it on the chin with a freak October Snowstorm the biggest ever by far for October. Never saw so many trees down in my entire life. Leaves were still on the branches so the snow put so much weight on the trees that they snapped like made of styrofoam.

    Power was out for three days and I am lucky ot get it back this soon. You do not realize what you take for granted till you lose power, heat, phone, internet cable and lights.

    How long the night is when you are waiting for daybreak or what its like about waiting 3 hours for gas at the one open station in town or an hour long line at the open Dunkin Donuts just ot get hot coffee and a breakfast sandwich.