Feeling a bit better today but not close to 100%. I still had a lot of time to look over tonight’s game and I have an underdog play I’m making. I’m going to try and focus on undervalued underdogs over the next little bit.
Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars – OILERS TO WIN (+128)
(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.28 units)
The Oilers are coming off of a big 9-2 win on Saturday night at home against the Chicago Blackhawks. This big win came after 4 straight losses, and the Oilers are now 10-7-2. The Oilers have been streaky lately, winning 6 straight before dropping 5 of 6, but now may have their confidence back after Saturday’s huge offensive explosion. The Dallas Stars have dropped 5 straight games coming into tonight, with losses at home against San Jose and Florida and road losses vs Pittsburgh, Detroit, and Colorado. The Stars aren’t losing close games either – they are scoring just 0.80 goals per game over that 5 game span (being shutout twice) and allowing 4.20 against over that same span. The Stars are 11-8 on the season overall. In net will be a showdown between two of the Western Conferences best goaltenders so far this season. Edmonton’s Nikolai Khabibulin is 8-3-2 on the year with a low 1.76 GAA and .938 SV%. Kari Lehtonen is 11-4 with a 2.44 GAA and .928 SV% for the Stars. Dallas had been outplayed in a lot of their 11 wins, and it seems like things are starting to bounce the other way for the Stars in the current 5 game winning streak. The Stars are getting a little too much credit here and the Oilers are undervalued. I’ll take the Oilers as medium sized underdogs.
FYI: Bet placed at 5Dimes