Easily the worst run of my handicapping career right now. Some bad picks and some bad luck mixed together hasn’t gotten me off to a good start this NHL season.
For Clients: Any client who has signed up for my 5 Star picks will now have this guarantee: If I don’t turn things around this NHL season and make a profit over the course of the season you will get a credit for a FREE subscription to one year of any of my sports (NHL, MLB, or NFL). I didn’t think it would come down to even having to offer that guarantee, but it is the least I can do for my horrible start to the year. Make sure you keep a note of your registration date (on your receipt emailed to you).
Change of Plans: Last season we had so much success that I am going to try and go back to the model I went with last year. I will be offering Game of the Week (GOW) and Game of the Month (GOM) picks instead of just the 1 Star picks and 5 Star picks. Only clients will have access to the GOW (3 Star) and GOM (5 Star) picks.
Alright on to today’s pick…
Dallas Stars @ Carolina Hurricanes – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-123)
(Note: I’m risking 1.23 units to win 1 unit)
I don’t have a full write up here today as I am getting ready for Sunday’s NFL games, but I will throw out some of the things I looked at for this pick. Lehtonen vs Ward in net. Lehtonen has a 9-1 record, 2.16 GAA and .936 SV%. Ward is 5-3-2 with a 2.57 GAA and .920 SV%. The Stars are averaging just 2 goals per game on the road, while the Hurricanes are averaging 2.33 goals per game at home (2.50 on the season). The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Stars last 4 road games, 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 4-0 in their last 4 vs Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 4-0 in the ‘Canes last 4 vs Western Conference opponents, 6-2 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning % of more than .600, and 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is also 14-2 in the Stars last 16 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game, and the UNDER is 6-2 in the Hurricanes last 8 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game.