NHL Picks for October 21st

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A tough night last night, and I’m hoping the puck starts to bounce our way soon.

The Oilers give up a tying goal with under 2 seconds left, and then hit a post with a wide open net in the shootout to lose 2-1.  Nashville allowed 4 goals in the first period in a 5-1 loss making our “Under” play a loser.  Over the course of the season these things will even out and go our way too.

Last year I started the season off slow, down a few units like this year.  But sticking to our money management we grinded it out, and finish the season with 41 units of profit.  It is a long season… no body hates losing more than me – I will get back on track.

Two plays tonight…

Columbus Blue Jackets @ Detroit Red Wings – WINGS -1.5 [Puck Line] (+130)

(Note: I’m risking 1 unit to win 1.30 units)

Before I get 20 emails asking what “puck line” is… it is basically a spread in hockey.  The Wings must win by 2 or more goals for us to win this bet.  Tonight we have the winless 0-5-1 Columbus Blue Jackets squaring off with the undefeated 4-0 Red Wings, in what can be seen in a pretty big mismatch with the injuries the Blue Jackets are suffering.  The Blue Jackets will be without Jeff Carter, Kristian Huselius, Jared Boll, and James Wisniewski (suspension) for tonight’s game.  In net we will see Steve Mason and Jimmy Howard.  Mason this season has started all 6 games and ha a 3.35 GAA and .883 SV%.  Howard has 3 starts and a 1.63 GAA and .930 SV%.  In their 6 meetings last season Detroit only managed to beat Columbus by 2 goals twice, but at this point in the season it isn’t comparable to last season.  The Blue Jackets are sort of lost, scoring just 2 goals per game while allowing 3.17 against.  Columbus’ penalty kill is just 76% and their powerplay is sitting just above 6%.  The Red Wings have averaged over 3 goals per game and have allowed just 1.25 goals against per game.  With Huselius and Carter out for the Blue Jackets the talent up front doesn’t even touch the Red Wings offense.  I think we’re getting a good price for the Wings to win by 2 or more on home ice.  Take Detroit on the Puck Line with confidence.

Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks – DUCKS TO WIN (-137)

(Note: I’m risking 1.37 units to win 1 unit)

A solid early season match up with the 5-1 Dallas Stars and 4-1 Anaheim Ducks.  The Stars have enjoyed two wins over Columbus, and wins against St Louis, Phoenix, and Chicago.  Anaheim started the season with a loss against Buffalo in Europe and has since beat the Rangers, San Jose, St Louis, and the Sharks again in San Jose.  The Stars are pretty lucky to have the record they do, as they were out shot in 4 of their 5 wins, which included being outshot by 22, 12, 16, and 5 shots.  If it wasn’t for Kari Lehtonen the Stars could easily be 2-4 or 1-5 coming into tonight’s game.  Lehtonen is 5-0 with a 1.58 GAA and .953 SV%.  Not far behind Lehtonen is Jonas Hiller who is 3-1 with a 1.71 GAA and .931 SV%.  The Ducks have given Lehtonen troubles as he is just 3-4-2 with a 3.21 GAA against the Ducks in his 9 career starts.  The Ducks are 47-23 in their last 70 home games and are 4-1 in their last 5 at home against the Stars.  Early this season the Ducks have looked like the better team, and at home in front of Hiller they will be a tough team to beat.  Take the Ducks for 1 unit tonight laying just a bit of chalk at home.

Let’s get back on track tonight!

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4 Comments

  1. Hey,

    followed you last year, you had some good picks!
    Hope the puck start bouncing your way again…any thouhgts on New Jersey first period and Ducks UNDER 5.5?

  2. Thanks… I don’t really look at 1st period bets and would rather take Devils to win. Ducks UNDER 5.5 looks good with two solid goalies, but you’re laying a lot of chalk there.

    Good Luck!

  3. for Saturday Oct 22 like and bet (at 5 Dimes)

    Over 10 +115 (moved line) on MLB
    Wisconsin -7 -107 (reduced) over Mich State

    also like

    Notre Dame -9 1/2 over USC
    West Mich-East Mich over 58
    Bruins-sharks under 5 +110

    Now off to watch my beloved UNH Division 2 Chargers play homecoming game in New Haven CT

    J