NHL Picks for October 28th

5

1-1 yesterday but another tough loss with my 2 unit Under pick in the Stars/Kings game.  Neither Quick or Lehtonen played like they had been to start the season… I was expecting a big game out of both of them.  I guess it is tough to get up for a game in front of what looked like 2,000 fans in Dallas (I guess everyone was watching the World Series game).  Buffalo came through with a 4-2 win for a nice +152 pick up in an exciting finish for us.

A small NHL board tonight and I have one play going.  I will be back with most likely a couple plays tomorrow in a busy Saturday…

St Louis Blues @ Calgary Flames – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-128)

(Note: I’m risking 1.28 units to win 1 unit)

Brian Elliott is coming off a shutout in Vancouver and I expect him to get the start again tonight.  He is 4-0 on the season with a 1.59 GAA and .950 SV%.  Mikka Kiprusoff picked up the win on Wednesday night and is 3-3 with a 2.19 GAA and .924 SV%.  He has enjoyed success against the Blues with a 19-5-2 lifetime record against them and a stellar 1.94 GAA. Calgary’s 4 goals on Wednesday bumped their season average up, but they are still only scoring 2.4 goals per game.  The Blues are averaging 2.8 goals per game.  Take note that the UNDER is 4-1 in the Blues last 5 vs a team with a losing record.  The UNDER is 3-1-2 in the Flames last 6 overall and 22-9-2 in their last 33 games as a small favorite of -110 to -150.  The UNDER is 8-3 in these two teams last 11 meetings, and 16-4-2 in their last 22 meetings in Calgary.  This will be the Flames 5th straight home game.  Their last 4 games have had totals of 6, 2, 5, and 3 (the only OVER was Wednesday with two late goals).  Two hot goalies and two teams that play the UNDER against each other gives us value with a 5.5 total in this one.  Take the UNDER.

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5 Comments

  1. Hi Kev,
    Im lil bit confused wht do u mean dat u bet 1.28 unit to win 1 unit …. pleas help me to figure out dis and thx!!!
    keep up with good job!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  2. For Game 7 I like the over a lot tonight and the cards a bit.

    Carpenters playoff whip is 1.13 while Harison clocks in at 1.56. Rangers got to be affected from last nights game more then Cards. the Starting pitching is the hard shell and the relief is the gooey middle. Crack the hard shell and the runs will spill out.
    With Texas Bats doing well and with St Louis facing the weaker pitcher and being at home and with Momentum the over and cards seem to be the play.

  3. Mario, he bet 1.28 unit because of the house juice, he need that 0.28 to win 1 unit, if he don’t bet 1.28 he will win less tthan 1 unit, about 0.72 units… Hope my english explained it well….

  4. Mario and Rui,

    On the under 5.5 goals they are -128; this means you have to wagers $128 (1.28 unit)to win $100(1 unit). Hope this will help you.

  5. Heloo kev,
    I’m looking today have schedule play is Calgary Flames VS St Louis Blues. It is the same with your Prediction is under 5.5 Goal ?

    Thks…